The McKinsey Quarterly

risk roundup 2011 article, sovereign debt risk, Corporate Risk

January 2011 

Risk roundup 2011

Top forecasters predict where this year’s economic and political risks will be and why they matter.

Recent Thinking

The Archive

2008

  • December 2008 

    Leading through uncertainty

    The range of possible futures confronting business is great. Companies that nurture flexibility, awareness, and resiliency are more likely to survive the crisis, and even to prosper.

2007

  • November 2007 

    Betting on prediction markets

    How companies such as Google and Best Buy gather the collected wisdom of customers and employees to better predict future events.

    Includes: Video

2006

2005

2004

2003

2000

  • June 2000 

    Strategy under uncertainty

    The traditional approach to strategy requires precise predictions and thus often leads executives to underestimate uncertainty. This can be downright dangerous. A four-level framework can help.

1998

  • August 1998 

    Making real options real

    Most applications of option theory have been oversimplifled. What happens when options generate more options as well as cashflows? Here is a second-year course on compound options.

Embed E-mail