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How health care costs contribute to income disparity in the United States

Recent trends in health care costs, health care coverage, and household income have contributed to growing disparities between different income groups in the United States.

Over the past 50 years, US workers have come to expect employers to pay for some part of employee health insurance; many consider this an important part of overall compensation. However, recent economic trends have resulted in a growing disparity in health care coverage and affordability. A study by the McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) identified three divergent categories of workers that are emerging from trends in health care coverage and income growth.

The top-income category (earning on average $210,100 annually1) has enjoyed rising incomes and growing employer-paid health care benefits, which have made their out-of-pocket spending on health care a relatively small and affordable portion of total spending. The higher-middle-income category (earning an average of $84,800 annually) and the lower-middle-income group (earning on average $41,500), have also seen increasing benefits and incomes—but at a much slower rate, making the uncovered portion of their health care costs ever-more expensive. In the bottom-income category (earning an average of $14,800 a year), incomes have been stagnant, and their employers are less likely to pay for their health insurance. This group is finding any health care difficult, if not impossible, to afford.

As part of a study of widening income gaps between US households, we found that rising employer-paid health insurance premiums constitute a growing share of the combined income of lower-paid employees—a much larger share than for those who are higher paid. For those workers within the bottom-income group who are insured (22 percent), the ratio of employer-paid premiums to household income is 20 percent. That compares with 3.3 percent for the top-income group, in which nine out of ten workers are insured (Exhibit 1).

In addition, different income groups now experience strikingly different levels of health care coverage and benefits. Rising health care costs, reflected by spiraling insurance premiums, are widening the discrepancies between income groups in both the levels of enrollment in employer-paid health schemes and insured workers’ ability to afford premiums and out-of-pocket health care costs.

The latest available data, from 1996 to 2005,2 shows that the average employer contributions to health insurance premiums grew 5 percent a year in real terms, to $5,068. Some employers are offering more comprehensive benefits to attract and retain better workers. At the same time, some companies have been prompted to withdraw the offer of employee health care benefits altogether; others have had to limit the number of employees eligible for benefits (for example, by including only full-time workers or those of a certain tenure). Employee contributions to insurance premiums have also been rising, discouraging some from taking up their employers’ insurance offers altogether.

Such responses to rising premiums have resulted in stagnating or falling rates of enrollment in employer-paid schemes—a trend that has particularly affected middle-income employees. Put another way, employers are spending more on health care per employee but for fewer employees. In 2005, employer-paid health benefits covered 22 percent of households in the bottom-income group, contrasted with 56 percent of the lower-middle, 81 percent of the upper-middle, and 89 percent of the top income group (Exhibit 2).

What’s more, because incomes across the four groups of workers have been growing at such different rates in recent years, the average employer-paid premium for a worker in the top 10 percent was more than double the average for someone in the lowest 30 percent of income earners. Gaps in the extent of employer-paid health care services offered to employees at different income levels have thus widened. Employees benefiting from higher premiums receive a proportionately wider choice of health care goods and services. Q logo

About the Authors

Byron Auguste is a director in McKinsey’s Washington, DC, office; Lenny Mendonca is chairman of the McKinsey Global Institute, where Martha Laboissière is a consultant.

The authors wish to acknowledge Sara Parker for her extensive contribution to the research and article. They would also like to acknowledge Alexander Grunewald, James Kalamas, and Robin Matthias for their insightful input.

Notes

1All average incomes are for 2005. The top-income group represents 10 percent of all households; the higher-middle-, lower-middle-, and bottom-income levels each make up 30 percent of the remainder.

2Analysis done for years comparable to available detailed household Current Population Survey (CPS) data.

Recommend (60)
  • 22 MAY 2009
    Ian Weston
    SVP, Special Projects
    Dow Jones
    NY

    Tiered services and price differentiation are not really practical propositions in healthcare...

    .
    Ian Weston
    SVP, Special Projects
    Dow Jones
    NY

    Interesting article, but agree with the other comments that the title misses the point: US healthcare is expensive because a free market plus low price elasticity ensures standards and expectations are set by those with the most to spend.

    Tiered services and price differentiation are not really practical propositions in healthcare owing to the nature of the cost structures and services provided—so we have a system that provides exemplary healthcare to those that can pay for it, but struggles to provide acceptable ‘regular’ service that is affordable to the average citizen.

    .
  • 22 MAY 2009
    Aaron Dukes
    Consultant Statistician / Statistical Programmer
    Breakthru Systems Development
    Coral Springs, Florida, USA

    Besides tax distortion, two other important factors are the large disparity in costs of group versus individual policies, and paradoxically, the higher relative cost of insurance to the low-wage worker....

    .
    Aaron Dukes
    Consultant Statistician / Statistical Programmer
    Breakthru Systems Development
    Coral Springs, Florida, USA

    Besides tax distortion, two other important factors are the large disparity in costs of group versus individual policies, and paradoxically, the higher relative cost of insurance to the low-wage worker.

    Due to pooled risk, employers pay much less for the employee’s coverage than the employee would on their own. This motivates them to pile on more benefits in lieu of salary. Working against this is the inability of the low-wage worker to absorb this cost. Say a worker earning $150K would have to pay $22K per year for a family policy equivalent to what is covered by his employer. For his employer to cover it saves the worker $30K because its now paid with pre-tax dollars. But it may only cost the employer $10K. So the employer effectively gets a 200% ROI on its health care spend. But for the worker earning $40K, the whole calculus is meaningless, because he can’t afford to spend half his income on health insurance, and therefore the employer benefits more by paying a slightly larger salary and not providing such benefits.

    So, high health insurance costs on the one hand reduce salary differences between low and high income workers, but this is overcompensated for by the low income workers inability to afford health care and therefore getting lesser benefits, and by the tax distortion. The tax distortion can be removed by making health care 100% deductible, and the affordability issue partly alleviated by low-income workers buying insurance as a group.

    .
  • 22 MAY 2009
    M. Wayne Wilson
    Director, R&D
    Interact, Inc. Software Systems
    Austin, TX USA

    For exhibit 2, the “not covered by employer” data should have some measure of break out for company size....

    .
    M. Wayne Wilson
    Director, R&D
    Interact, Inc. Software Systems
    Austin, TX USA

    For exhibit 2, the “not covered by employer” data should have some measure of break out for company size. I would anticipate that most of people in first column, and lot of 2nd column, are small businesses.

    .
  • 9 APRIL 2009
    Phil Ericksen
    Regional Sales Director
    Assurant Health
    Charleston, SC

    A more appropriate title: “How the regressive US payroll tax with its deductibility for employer-based health coverage has forced higher-wage workers into a third-party payor system where demand and supply are unlimited...

    .
    Phil Ericksen
    Regional Sales Director
    Assurant Health
    Charleston, SC

    A more appropriate title: “How the regressive US payroll tax with its deductibility for employer-based health coverage has forced higher-wage workers into a third-party payor system where demand and supply are unlimited, as neither provider nor consumer need to discuss price.” This created runaway demand for expensive medical services, and priced low-wage workers out of the health care and insurance market. The current tax subsidy should be inverted—subsidize health care expenses and insurance for the poor, and phase out health insurance tax deductions for the wealthy. Everyone who wants coverage can then afford it. Problem solved.

    .
  • 9 APRIL 2009
    Sylvia Hampton
    columnist
    Rancho Bernardo Sun Signature
    San Diego CA

    ...Does it really make sense to keep for-profit health insurance companies in the loop? Aren’t they the big thorn in all our sides?

    .
    Sylvia Hampton
    columnist
    Rancho Bernardo Sun Signature
    San Diego CA

    The shock to me is that the spending is growing but the number being covered is going down.

    How would a “single payer” system improve this situation for busineses? And the rising costs to state and local governments and school districts must be huge. Does it really make sense to keep for-profit health insurance companies in the loop? Aren’t they the big thorn in all our sides?

    .
  • 9 APRIL 2009
    Larry Davidson
    Professor
    IU Kelley School of Business
    Bloomington, IN USA

    I think you may have the title backwards as you don’t really prove that health care is causing higher income disparity. My guess is that income disparity is causing greater healthcare inequality....

    .
    Larry Davidson
    Professor
    IU Kelley School of Business
    Bloomington, IN USA

    I think you may have the title backwards as you don’t really prove that health care is causing higher income disparity. My guess is that income disparity is causing greater healthcare inequality. Focusing on the real and substantial causes of income disparity—not healthcare—would help the poor and make healthcare more equal.

    .
  • 9 APRIL 2009
    Bruce Beatty
    Professor, Economics
    El Camino College
    Hermosa Beach, CA 90254

    The logic of this article suggesting that health care benefits increase income inequality is totally refuted by microeconomic theory....

    .
    Bruce Beatty
    Professor, Economics
    El Camino College
    Hermosa Beach, CA 90254

    The logic of this article suggesting that health care benefits increase income inequality is totally refuted by microeconomic theory. A worker is generally paid the value of her marginal product, or VMP. Some of that wage may be in the form of fringe benefits. In the absence of employer-paid health care, her nominal wage would certainly be higher. Only to the extent that taxes are not paid on the value of the fringe benefit is any distortion introduced.

    .
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