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Taking the bias out of meetings

Managing bias effectively can help lessen the impact it has on your company’s strategy.

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The biases that undermine strategic decision making often operate in meetings. Here is a menu of ideas for running them in a way that will mitigate the impact of those biases. Not every suggestion will be applicable to all types of decisions or organizations, but paying attention to the principles underlying these ideas should pay dividends for any executive trying to run meetings that lead to sounder decisions. Also included are related comments from executives and experts we spoke with while creating our special package: “Seeing through biases in strategic decisions.”

Make sure the right people are involved
  • Ensure diversity of backgrounds, roles, risk aversion profiles, and interests; cultivate critics within the top team:

     “You need internal critics—people who have the courage to give you feedback,” says Anne Mulchay, chairman and former CEO of Xerox. “This requires a certain comfort with confrontation, so it’s a skill that has to be developed. The decisions that come out of allowing people to have different views are often harder to implement than what comes out of consensus decision making, but they’re also better.” (See “Xerox’s Anne Mulcahy: ‘Timeliness trumps perfection.’”)

  • Invite contributions based on expertise, not rank. Don’t hesitate to invite expert contributors to come and present a point of view without attending the entire meeting.
  • For the portion of the meeting where a decision is going to be made, keep attendance to a minimum, preferably with a team that has experience making decisions together. This loads the dice in favor of depersonalized debate by eliminating executives’ fear of exposing their subordinates to conflict and also creates, over time, an environment of trust among that small group of decision makers.
Assign homework
  • Make sure predecision due diligence is based on accurate, sufficient, and independent facts and on appropriate analytical techniques.
  • Request alternatives and “out of the box” plans—for instance, by soliciting input from outsiders to the decision-making process.
  • Consider setting up competing fact-gathering teams charged with investigating opposing hypotheses.
Create the right atmosphere
  • As the final decision maker, ask others to speak up (starting with the most junior person); show you can change your mind based on their input; strive to create a “peerlike” atmosphere.
  • Encourage admissions of individual experiences and interests that create possible biases.

     According to Kleiner Perkins partner Randy Komisar, for example, a contentious debate over manufacturing strategy at the start-up WebTV suddenly became more manageable once it was clear that managers with software experience were frightened about building hardware and managers with hardware experience were afraid of ceding control to contract manufacturers. (See Dan Lovallo and Olivier Sibony, “The case for behavioral strategy.”)

  • Encourage expressions of doubt and create a climate that recognizes reasonable people may disagree when discussing difficult decisions.
  • Encourage substantive disagreements on the issue at hand by clearly dissociating it from personal conflict, using humor to defuse tension.
Manage the debate
  • Before you get going, make sure everyone knows the meeting’s purpose (making a decision) and the criteria you will be using to make that decision. For recurring decisions (such as R&D portfolio reviews), make it clear to everyone that those criteria include “forcing devices” (such as comparing projects against one another).
  • Take the pulse of the room: ask participants to write down their initial positions, use voting devices, or ask participants for their “balance sheets” of pros and cons.

     “Frankly, I’m surprised that when you have a reasonably well-informed group it isn’t more common to begin by having everyone write their conclusions on a slip of paper,” remarks Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman. “If you don’t do that, the discussion will create an enormous amount of conformity.” (See “Strategic decisions: When can you trust your gut?”)

     “Put together a simple balance sheet where everybody around the table is asked to list points on both sides: ‘Tell me what is good about this opportunity; tell me what is bad about it. Do not tell me your judgment yet. I don’t want to know,’” says Randy Komisar, partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers. “The balance sheet process mitigates a lot of the friction that typically arises when people marshal the facts that support their case while ignoring those that don’t. (See “Kleiner Perkins’ Randy Komisar: ‘Balance out biases.’”)

  • Use the premortem technique to expand the debate.

     “The premortem technique is a sneaky way to get people to do contrarian, devil’s advocate thinking,” explains psychologist Gary Klein. “Before a project starts, say, ‘We’re looking in a crystal ball, and this project has failed; it’s a fiasco. Now, everybody, take two minutes and write down all the reasons why you think the project has failed.” (See “Strategic decisions: When can you trust your gut?”)

  • Counter anchoring: postpone the introduction of numbers if possible; “reframe” alternative courses of action as they emerge by making explicit “what you have to believe” to support each of the alternatives.

     “It’s easy for people to lose track of how much they’ve explained away,” notes Klein. “So one possibility is to try to surface this for them—to show them the list of things they’ve explained away.” (See “Strategic decisions: When can you trust your gut?”)

  • Pay attention to the use of comparisons and analogies: limit the use of inappropriate ones (“inadmissible evidence”) by asking for alternatives and suggesting or requesting additional analogies.
  • Force the room to consider opposing views. For vital decisions, create an explicit role for one or two people—the “decision challengers.”
Follow up
  • Commit yourself to the decision. Debate should stop when the decision is made. Connect individually with initial dissenters and make sure implementation plans address their concerns to the extent possible.
  • Monitor pre–agreed upon criteria and milestones to correct your course or move on to backup plans.
  • Conduct a postmortem on the decision once its outcome is known.
  • Periodically step back and review decision processes to improve meeting preparation and mechanics, using an outside observer to diagnose possible sources of bias.
About the Authors

Dan Lovallo is a professor at the University of Sydney, a senior research fellow at the Institute for Business Innovation at the University of California, Berkeley, and an adviser to McKinsey; Olivier Sibony is a director in McKinsey’s Brussels office.

Recommend (65)
  • 9 MARCH 2011
    Hariharakrishnan N R
    Asst General Manager
    State Bank of India
    Chennai India

    As far as my experience goes, homework, as indicated in the article, that the members are expected to do, does not happen, and the damage is worse if some do the homework and others do not....

    .
    Hariharakrishnan N R
    Asst General Manager
    State Bank of India
    Chennai India

    As far as my experience goes, homework, as indicated in the article, that the members are expected to do, does not happen, and the damage is worse if some do the homework and others do not. This situation will cause a tilt to the amount of knowledge arriving at the table. I suggest a brainstorm sort of discussion where everything happens then and there at faster speeds, to help to reduce diversion. A review committee can take the emotive part out later.

    You are right, the second most important idea is the members not knowing the basic purpose of the decision and their obligations to the forum. The Third point with which I do not agree is the members who are not asked to vote or commit by excluding them from the final decision will be providing less depth in deliberations.

    .
  • 28 MAY 2010
    Nicholas Tan
    Engineer
    TransGrid
    Sydney, NSW Australia

    ...the article focuses mostly on the time-space during and after the meeting. I believe the pre-meeting preparations are crucial to ensure effective meetings, too....

    .
    Nicholas Tan
    Engineer
    TransGrid
    Sydney, NSW Australia

    Very insightful piece discussing improvements to the way we conduct meetings and using follow-ups to ensure accountability. However, the article focuses mostly on the time-space during and after the meeting.

    I believe the pre-meeting preparations are crucial to ensure effective meetings, too. Setting up a well-thought meeting agenda is an often under-appreciated but powerful way to orchestrate a successful meeting.

    For example, we could set up two versions of the meeting agenda for different participants. One version covers the views supporting an idea (or illustrating it in a positive manner) while another presents it in an opposing manner. In doing this, we employed the concept of ‘anchoring’ in psychology to nudge participants towards having a more divergent view towards the issues. This should effectively alleviate the risk of ‘group think’ in corporate decision making.

    .
  • 13 MAY 2010
    Jorge Couto
    Sales Productivity and BI Consultant
    BI Tools
    Alphaville, Brazil

    In my opinion and based on my experience as a consultant, one premise is a sine-qua-non condition to productive meetings: just one version of truth....

    .
    Jorge Couto
    Sales Productivity and BI Consultant
    BI Tools
    Alphaville, Brazil

    In my opinion and based on my experience as a consultant, one premise is a sine-qua-non condition to productive meetings: just one version of truth. When each participant comes to the meeting with its own spreadsheet it’s almost impossible to reach success and conflicts dominate the subject.

    .
  • 14 APRIL 2010
    Eric Osei
    Business Strategy Manager
    Kessben Group of Companies Ltd
    Kumasi, Ghana

    The article has been written probably with the presumption that, the CEO’s or Chairman’s own biases and emotions have been eliminated from the discourse....

    .
    Eric Osei
    Business Strategy Manager
    Kessben Group of Companies Ltd
    Kumasi, Ghana

    The article has been written probably with the presumption that, the CEO’s or Chairman’s own biases and emotions have been eliminated from the discourse. Decisions should be based on the objective and detailed analyses presented on the floor.

    .
  • 12 APRIL 2010
    Leo Salazar
    Senior Program Director International
    De Baak
    Amsterdam, the Netherlands

    This is a good article, with some great decision making techniques, but there is one glaring omission: coping with the enormous differences in decision making you find in differing national cultures....

    .
    Leo Salazar
    Senior Program Director International
    De Baak
    Amsterdam, the Netherlands

    This is a good article, with some great decision making techniques, but there is one glaring omission: coping with the enormous differences in decision making you find in differing national cultures. Even though one of the tips wisely recommended “make the team as diverse as possible,” this, and the other tips, assume a common national culture. This is often not the case, especially in MNCs with multiple global locations.

    .
    OUR REPLY
    MKQ_response

    McKinsey’s Olivier Sibony responds:

    Mr. Salazar, this seems to be a common concern, as I’ve heard it many times over from both clients and journalists. As demonstrated by years of experiments in all cultures, cognitive biases are universal; therefore the general principles that combat them are also universal. What does, and should, vary according to national culture—and by corporate culture, as we point out in the article—are the tools and techniques you use to put these principles into practice. It is fair to assume, for instance, that the ways in which an American executive encourages dissent (or tries to) might not be effective in some Asian countries.

    OUR REPLY
  • 10 APRIL 2010
    Fakhruddin Ahmed
    Islamic Development Bank
    Jeddah Saudi Arabia

    A good discussion but not comprehensive. Under the section ‘Manage debate,’ I would like to add one very important issue, namely, controling the direction of debate....

    .
    Fakhruddin Ahmed
    Islamic Development Bank
    Jeddah Saudi Arabia

    A good discussion but not comprehensive. Under the section ‘Manage debate,’ I would like to add one very important issue, namely, controling the direction of debate. Usually, while expanding the debate the dicussion gradually gets diverted from the core issue at hand. This should be controled intelligently without choking expression of out-of-the-box ideas.

    .
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Related Audio
In a March 2010 podcast titled “Making better decisions in meetings,” Dan Lovallo and Olivier Sibony describe how to remove cognitive biases from meetings where decisions get made. To listen, use the audio tool in the box to the left.

Special package: Seeing through biases in strategic decisions

This article is part of a McKinsey Quarterly package on improving strategic decision making. Read others from the collection:

The case for behavioral strategy
Learn how to counter the subconscious biases that undermine strategic decision making.

How we do it: Three executives reflect on strategic decision making
Balancing timely action with thorough, unbiased decision processes is critical.

Strategic decisions: When can you trust your gut?
Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman and psychologist Gary Klein debate the power and perils of intuition.

How to test your decision-making instincts
Executives should trust their gut instincts—but only when four tests are met.
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