The McKinsey Quarterly

  • Recommend (17)
  • Text Size
  • Print
  • Download PDF
  • Link to This

Banking on carbon assets

A new regulatory environment for greenhouse gas emissions could hold good news for banks.

For the foreseeable future, the global financial-services sector will be wrestling with the grim realities of credit losses, deleveraging, and challenges to traditional business models. With dramatic industry restructuring already underway and a clear need for players to concentrate on the here and now, it would be easy to lose sight of a nascent but significant long-term opportunity: facilitating carbon trading.

By placing a value on greenhouse gas emissions, regulators have created a new asset class—carbon allowances. The European Union, for instance, issues allowances to companies in the industrial and energy sectors, stipulating that companies can emit capped levels of carbon emissions during the year. Enterprises that overshoot their allowances can buy supplementary ones from companies that have a surplus. China is discussing plans for a similar scheme, and the United States may introduce one soon as well.

Many banks, including Barclays, Merrill Lynch, and Deutsche Bank, already profit from trade in this new asset class, which had a market value of about €65 billion in 2007. By participating in those transactions, banks earned around €500 million in revenues last year. Trading volume could grow to €2 trillion by 2020—more than double the size of the global commodities derivatives market in 2007. By helping to transform today’s assortment of mainly OTC deals into tomorrow’s global commodity, banks could gain revenues of €3 billion to €5 billion.

These figures, a mere drop in the bucket compared with the losses many banks currently face, are almost half of the annual trading revenues realized in 2006 by banks across all commodities. Firms hoping to participate in these new markets have a critical role to play today in the creation of universal standards for market transparency, product specifications, and contract terms; the provisioning of liquidity; and the development of regulation to encourage large-scale trading by blue-chip companies.

About the Author

James Twining is an associate principal in McKinsey’s London office.

Recommend (17)
  • 12 DECEMBER 2008
    Kenny Tang
    CEO
    Oxbridge Weather Capital
    London, United Kingdom

    I am really delighted that you have featured an article on carbon trading and its prospects for banks, especially in the midst of today’s financial turmoil.

    However, it needs to be said that placing a value on greenhouse gas emissions...

    .
    Kenny Tang
    CEO
    Oxbridge Weather Capital
    London, United Kingdom

    I am really delighted that you have featured an article on carbon trading and its prospects for banks, especially in the midst of today’s financial turmoil.

    However, it needs to be said that placing a value on greenhouse gas emissions is not restricted to just carbon trading. Other opportunities in the whole area of carbon finance will include originating of carbon assets, structuring innovative transactions, financing carbon reduction and clean energy projects, investing in the quoted and unquoted companies, and insuring in the low-carbon economy, which are just as important as carbon trading.

    As such, I think that the prospects for banks and other financial players in the carbon finance and carbon markets field are underestimated in this article and should provide a criticial underpinning for prospects in years to come.

    .
  • 12 DECEMBER 2008
    Domenick Cardinale
    Owner
    Hampden CC
    United States

    Why should banks enter into this market asset class? They should develop programs whereby the proceeds from carbon allowances go back to companies involved in energy alternatives, or programs to support further development of alternatives and grassroots programs for state...

    .
    Domenick Cardinale
    Owner
    Hampden CC
    United States

    Why should banks enter into this market asset class? They should develop programs whereby the proceeds from carbon allowances go back to companies involved in energy alternatives, or programs to support further development of alternatives and grassroots programs for state and local communities in all aspects of the greening industry. Banks have already showed what they can do, and despite their mismanagement they continue to profit from consumers. Banks should be partners in this, not benefit from it.

    Maybe the banks should set up programs that support and assist local, private, and state agencies that want to better their efforts in green alternative energies. I could use that sort of help right now to complete a small scale wind assessment for the potential development of small scale wind power.

    .
  • 10 DECEMBER 2008
    Ashish Gupta
    Gurgaon/Haryana, India

    “Capitalizing” and seeking “opportunity” in restoring the natural balance of energies humans have disturbed in nature is, in my opinion, a big mistake.

    In the past we have linked natural resources (such as petroleum) to economic benefit and today the...

    .
    Ashish Gupta
    Gurgaon/Haryana, India

    “Capitalizing” and seeking “opportunity” in restoring the natural balance of energies humans have disturbed in nature is, in my opinion, a big mistake.

    In the past we have linked natural resources (such as petroleum) to economic benefit and today the consequences are devastating, since fairness in prosperity is very skewed.

    The reduction of carbon should not be based on economics. It should be done on a voluntary basis. The fundamentals of staking “human progress” in contrast to “natural balances” is contradictory—you say, for instance, that no one will shut polluting factories because we are dependent on them—so let us modulate by incentives in the hope that in the future it becomes a process. However, that model will continue to lead on the path of capitalizing situations, hedging risks, and opportunism, all of which are characteristic of this economic downturn.

    .
Submit Your Comments

The user information you enter into this form will not update your site profile. To update your profile, please visit your profile page.

Subject Banking on carbon assets

*Required

We may publish your comments online and in the print edition of McKinsey Quarterly. Those chosen, which may be edited for length and clarity, will appear along with your name and details, but not your e-mail address. We will use your e-mail address only to send you a confirmation copy of your comments and to notify you if we publish them online.

We value your feedback and will consider it carefully. Nonetheless, we receive so many comments that we cannot acknowledge all of them.

See also:
Preview

The crisis: A new era for management

This article is part of a comprehensive package examining strategic, financial, economic, and regulatory aspects of the current crisis.

Embed E-mail