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Checking Africa’s vital signs

A familiarity with Africa’s demographics, economics, and business climate is essential to considering future trajectories of growth.

Africa’s 50-plus economies are growing at a remarkable pace: across the region, real GDP increased by an average of 4.9 percent a year between 2000 and 2008, compared with just 2.4 percent a year during the 1990s. Moreover, a number of African governments have undertaken structural reforms in recent years that are making their economies more attractive to investors. Indeed, the annual flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) into Africa in 2008 increased to $62 billion, from $9 billion in 2000. Relative to GDP, that is almost as large as the flow into China. This increased FDI accounted for the bulk of new African capital inflows, which grew rapidly from 2000 to 2008.

Nonetheless, quickening economic growth cannot obscure the continent’s significant problems—among them, high levels of poverty, political instability, poor education, excessive government bureaucracy, and corruption. In addition, Africans must improve both the quality and accessibility of health care and address the sustainability of resources.

To put these opportunities and challenges into context, we offer this interactive snapshot of selected data highlighting the region’s demographics, economics, and business climate.


Checking Africa's vital signs
This interactive highlights the demographics, economics, and business climate of Africa.
Correction:
The mineral resources map in this interactive was updated on June 8 to correct an error in the map’s key. A previous version inaccurately displayed which countries have more than one resource holding in the top ten globally.
Recommend (105)
  • 11 AUGUST 2010
    Caroline Moyers
    Consultant
    Self-employed
    Washington, DC USA

    ...I think improving the trade environment is more urgent than the infrastructure problems....

    .
    Caroline Moyers
    Consultant
    Self-employed
    Washington, DC USA

    I think one way African countries are making moves for the better is through regional integration. How can those countries ever become important players on the global scene if they don’t trade amongst themselves? I believe that an increase in regional trade will not only reduce poverty—because many Africans are small traders who can gain a lot by trading their goods with neighboring countries—but also that will help increase security and prevent future conflicts. However in order for that to happen, governments will have to implement many trade agreements to which they committed but never implemented. I think improving the trade environment is more urgent than the infrastructure problems. Of course countries could use better roads but even the existing ones haven’t been used enough for the betterment of ordinary citizens.

    .
  • 15 JUNE 2010
    John Ssekindi
    Student
    Utica College
    Chicago, IL USA

    Mitigating corruption and strengthening the rule of law is the only way Africa can sustain the economic trend and attraction of investors....

    .
    John Ssekindi
    Student
    Utica College
    Chicago, IL USA

    Mitigating corruption and strengthening the rule of law is the only way Africa can sustain the economic trend and attraction of investors. Corruption bleeds most, if not all the negative elements that affect investor confidence.

    .
  • 9 JUNE 2010
    Matt Wood
    Director
    Range-Unlimited
    UK

    Africa needs a safe, reliable, low-cost airline network to allow trade to flourish....

    .
    Matt Wood
    Director
    Range-Unlimited
    UK

    Africa needs a safe, reliable, low-cost airline network to allow trade to flourish.

    Building and maintaining an airport with a 3km runway is easier and cheaper than building roads and railways over thousands of Km of bush.

    The mobile phone networks and payment facilities that go with them are devloping quickly in parts of Africa and would allow a low-cost airline to sell tickets with a minimum of fuss.

    Unfortunately, African poltics and pride make this unlikely to happen. Individual countries want their own airline operated by their own people and this usually results in fatal accidents.

    A successful low-cost pan African Airline would need finance and cooperation from several countries and would have to import piloting skills from more developed areas of the world.

    East African Airways worked reasonably well for a while, perhaps one might arise from the ashes.

    .
  • 9 JUNE 2010
    Daniel Adeoye
    Analyst
    Verod Capital
    Nigeria

    ...the continent needs to build both solid infrastructure and soft infrastructure (education and rule of law) or else the so-called growth will only benefit the companies with headquarters in the Western world.

    .
    Daniel Adeoye
    Analyst
    Verod Capital
    Nigeria

    The happenings in Europe have shown that even countries that have common currencies, markets, and tariffs cannot be looked at as one; the spreads between the PIIGS and say Germany / British Bonds, or the freezing out of Spanish banks from interbank markets are just a few examples.

    Consultancies need to take a microscopic look into the continent and spot out specific countries, industries that present opportunities to their fee-paying clients. They will also see, in terms of integration (transportation links, common tariffs, et al) the continent of over a billion people still has a long way to go.

    Truth be told, growth has been unprecedented but the continent needs to build both solid infrastructure and soft infrastructure (education and rule of law) or else the so-called growth will only benefit the companies with headquarters in the Western world.

    .
  • 8 JUNE 2010
    Leslie Taylor
    Lecturer in economics
    Middlesex University
    London, UK

    Interesting, but I would have thought there would be more emphasis on the need for improvements in physical infrastructure —near, if not, at the top of the list...

    .
    Leslie Taylor
    Lecturer in economics
    Middlesex University
    London, UK

    Interesting, but I would have thought there would be more emphasis on the need for improvements in physical infrastructure —near, if not, at the top of the list of necessary improvements for enhanced inflows of FDI as well as improving market access and reducing transport costs for exporters and also importers.

    .
  • 4 JUNE 2010
    Anirban Kar
    Alum
    Carnegie Mellon University
    Bangalore India

    ...Land deals are in fact not new. The Economist recently said that around 15-20 million hectares of farmland is under talks or lease for an amount of deals worth 20-30 billion USD....

    .
    Anirban Kar
    Alum
    Carnegie Mellon University
    Bangalore India

    Now consider these. There are four countries A, B , C , and D .

    Country A has a sparse population, lots of arable land but no growth in economy or productivity is seen.
    Country B is over populated, it cannot feed its domestic market the food grain it produces.
    Country C is neither over populated, nor does it use its land for agriculture, but for oil.
    Country D is mildly populated, and uses its land to reserve resources, not only for agriculture.

    Country A leases its land to Country B .
    Country C has a trade treaty of oil for food with Country C.
    Country D supplies the necessary technology to Country B for agriculture and high yielding products.

    Country A can be represented by African nations and Latin American nations, Country B as China and India, Country C as the OPEC countries, Country D as the developed nations.
    Now does solve the world hunger problem? Mildly so, you may think.

    Saudi Arabian investors have spent more than 100 Million USD for getting barley, wheat, and rice from leased land in Ethiopia. China has similarly invested in larger land deals in the African nations. Probably this is in our new future!

    But to underestimate the bureaucratic hassles of the host country would be over confidence. Venezuela recently banned outsourcing deals of land, and similarly some other African nations too. Land deals are in fact not new. The Economist recently said that around 15-20 million hectares of farmland is under talks or lease for an amount of deals worth 20-30 billion USD.

    What benefit does the host country have? Here are some pointers:

    1. Consider this an opportunity to align it as a lease for growth concept. The host country should take this as a means to use the foreign country to invest in infrastructure, industries, and economic growth.

    2. Leasing agreements should not be of 99 years, or even more than 10 years, after which the lease would be renewed again for the growth versus a lease strategy.

    3. Around 20 to 35% of the food grains made in the host country must be kept within the host country. This would solve malnutrition of the some of the poor countries. Also, the rest should be allowed only to go back.

    4. Ban on the exports of such crops produced by the foreign country. This would lead to further escalation of issues regarding trade barriers.

    5. G-8 should lay down a definite structure to the land outsourcing deals in the next meeting.

    6. More transparency is required to deal with such issues for deals between two governments by taking people into consideration, so that when it comes to actual deployment of the strategy, implementation would be smooth. People should see the advantages for working and growing crops for a foreign country.

    .
  • 2 JUNE 2010
    Ravi Pokhriyal
    Sr. Vice President
    Olam International
    Abidjan, Ivory Coast

    I am surprised to see that Accra’s name is missing from the list of major cities....

    .
    Ravi Pokhriyal
    Sr. Vice President
    Olam International
    Abidjan, Ivory Coast

    I am surprised to see that Accra’s name is missing from the list of major cities. I think with the political problems in Ivory Coast and new oil finds in Ghana, Accra is already on the way to becoming one of the major cities in this part of the world.

    .
  • 2 JUNE 2010
    Rajeev Pandey
    GM
    XYZ Limited
    Kenya

    ...A macro view of Africa would be preposterous from the investors’ perspective unless the ground realities of economies are delved in detail for an investment decision....

    .
    Rajeev Pandey
    GM
    XYZ Limited
    Kenya

    While the interactive is a good attempt, it leaves a lot to be desired and presents a perspective on vital signs without delving into the country-specific situation.

    Being in Africa for sometime, we on the ground have a totally different understanding and depth about the economies. A macro view of Africa would be preposterous from the investors’ perspective unless the ground realities of economies are delved in detail for an investment decision. And usually in the African context hard numbers do not work well, unless the undercurrents and underpinnings of the economy and its political climate are well understood.

    Yes, All I would like to sum up by saying that it is a high risk and high reward zone and largely still a virgin territory—and therefore the risk-reward trade off is very good—as compared to other stable zones or continents across the globe.

    .
    OUR REPLY
    MKQ_response

    The editors reply:

    Rajeev, Thank you for your thoughtful note. Your point about the importance of examining Africa at the country level in order to make investment decisions is absolutely right. We’d urge you to take a look at the other two articles that were published alongside this interactive that attempt to do this at both the country level as well as at the level of particular sectors.

    What’s driving Africa’s growth

    and Africa’s path to growth: Sector by sector

    Further, we will be posting many more articles on Africa in the coming weeks (from both McKinsey and non-McKinsey authors) that will explore the region’s broader growth story, doing business in the region, and finally, how to improve the lives of Africa’s people. Please stay tuned, and thanks for reading!

    OUR REPLY
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